MX23RW : Wednesday, November 27 16:54:49| >> :600:772920:772920:
Mali national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade 26 Mars

Mali
6 - 0
Eswatini

Bilal Toure (7'), Dorgeles (17', 23', 77'), Doumbia (42'), Doumbia (89')
FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mali and Eswatini, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Mali
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eswatini 1-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Mali 3-0 Eswatini

Mali can afford to take their foot off the gas here, but a chance to conclude their qualifying campaign with a win on home turf should see them up for the challenge.   We are fully backing the home side to cruise to a routine victory come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 65.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 11.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.04%) and 3-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.12%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
MaliDrawEswatini
65.63% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03) 22.69% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 11.68% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 35.52% (0.166 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.15% (0.143 0.14)59.85% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.88% (0.109 0.11)80.13% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.18% (0.040999999999997 0.04)17.83% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.43% (0.069000000000003 0.07)48.57% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.23% (0.178 0.18)56.78% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.09% (0.102 0.1)88.91% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Mali 65.62%
    Eswatini 11.68%
    Draw 22.69%
MaliDrawEswatini
1-0 @ 17.45% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 15.04% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.73%
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.39% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 65.62%
0-0 @ 10.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-1 @ 9.88% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.41% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.69%
0-1 @ 5.73%
1-2 @ 2.8% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.62% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 11.68%

How you voted: Mali vs Eswatini

Mali
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Eswatini
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
Eswatini
0-1
Mali

Tfomo (14'), Masangane (45+3'), (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Fulham125341717018
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle125341313018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham124351519-415
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!