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Scottish Premiership
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 22
Jan 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle
Aberdeen logo

Hearts
5 - 0
Aberdeen

Shinnie (15' og.), Smith (28'), Shankland (40' pen.), Ginnelly (45+1'), Devlin (61')
Rowles (55')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Lopes (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Last Game: Hearts 1-0 St Mirren
Friday, January 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 2-1 Aberdeen (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, January 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Hearts 2-1 Aberdeen

 Having avoided defeat in each of their past seven games, Hearts will be confident of overcoming Aberdeen, who look set to struggle without Stewart following last weekend's League Cup exit. If the recent scoring trends of Hearts and Aberdeen are anything to go by, both teams should find the net on Wednesday, but the hosts have more than enough quality to outscore the visitors at Tynecastle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.86%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawAberdeen
49.86% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 23.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 26.95% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 59.65% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.76% (0.061999999999998 0.06)41.23% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.37% (0.062999999999995 0.06)63.63% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (0.049999999999997 0.05)16.7% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.4% (0.091000000000001 0.09)46.59% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)28.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)64.13% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 49.86%
    Aberdeen 26.95%
    Draw 23.18%
HeartsDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 49.86%
1-1 @ 10.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.18%
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 26.95%

How you voted: Hearts vs Aberdeen

Hearts
86.8%
Draw
11.3%
Aberdeen
1.9%
53
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 3pm
Aberdeen
2-0
Hearts
Lopes (74'), Besuijen (79')
Richardson (2')
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
Hearts
2-0
Aberdeen
Souttar (38'), Kingsley (60')
Devlin (67')

Brown (37')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Aberdeen
2-1
Hearts
Watkins (49'), Ferguson (69')
McCrorie (59'), Campbell (82')
Souttar (45+2' pen.)
Woodburn (61'), Halkett (86')
Halliday (89')
Aug 22, 2021 3pm
Hearts
1-1
Aberdeen
Boyce (56' pen.)
Halliday (50'), Haring (76'), Walker (90+5')
Ojo (71')
Hayes (16'), Ferguson (80')
Apr 3, 2020 7.45pm
Aberdeen
P-P
Hearts
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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