Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 22

Jan 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Tynecastle

Hearts
5 - 0
Aberdeen

Shinnie (15' og.), Smith (28'), Shankland (40' pen.), Ginnelly (45+1'), Devlin (61')
Rowles (55')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Lopes (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Hearts 1-0 St Mirren
Friday, January 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Rangers 2-1 Aberdeen (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, January 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Having avoided defeat in each of their past seven games, Hearts will be confident of overcoming Aberdeen, who look set to struggle without Stewart following last weekend's League Cup exit. If the recent scoring trends of Hearts and Aberdeen are anything to go by, both teams should find the net on Wednesday, but the hosts have more than enough quality to outscore the visitors at Tynecastle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.86%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Aberdeen
49.86% ( 0.08)	23.19% ( -0.02)	26.95% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 59.65% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.76% (

0.06)

41.23% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.37% (

0.06)

63.63% (

-0.06)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.29% (

0.05)

16.7% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.4% (

0.09)

46.59% (

-0.09)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.61% (

-0.01)

28.38% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.87% (

-0.01)

64.13% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Hearts 49.86%

Aberdeen 26.95%

Draw 23.18%

Hearts	Draw	Aberdeen
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 49.86%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.18%	1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 3.57% Total : 26.95%