Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21

Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

St Mirren Park

St Mirren
1 - 1
Hearts

Strain (4')
Baccus (41'), O'Hara (56')
Fraser (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Snodgrass (49')
McKay (45+2'), Snodgrass (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions

Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-0 St Mirren
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: Hearts 3-0 Hibernian
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

In a match with permutations at the top end of the table, we expect both sides to battle hard and put on an entertaining spectacle in Paisley. On this occasion, Hearts will win the match by a narrow margin and strengthen their bid for continental qualification in the Scottish Premiership. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Hearts
34.03% ( 0)	27.42%	38.54% ( -0)

Both teams to score 49.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.8%

56.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.75%

77.25% (

-0)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9% (

31.09% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.58% (

67.42% (

-0)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.68% (

-0)

28.32% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.95% (

-0)

64.05% (

Score Analysis

St Mirren 34.03%

Hearts 38.54%

Draw 27.42%

St Mirren	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.03%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.42%	0-1 @ 11.11% 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.54%