Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 7

Jan 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Tynecastle

Hearts
1 - 0
St Mirren

McKay (29')
Smith (24'), Snodgrass (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Baccus (23'), Main (45'), Gallagher (54'), Reid (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: St Mirren 1-1 Hearts
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Mirren

All competitions

Last Game: St Mirren 1-1 Hearts
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

In a match with consequences at the top end of the Scottish Premiership table, we expect a closely fought encounter that will produce plenty of opportunities for both sides. On this occasion, Hearts will do enough to prevail and claim another precious three points in their hunt for third place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	St Mirren
53.61% ( -0.03)	22.82% ( 0.01)	23.56% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 57.3% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.28% (

-0.03)

42.72% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.88% (

-0.03)

65.12% (

0.03)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.09% (

-0.02)

15.91% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.85% (

-0.04)

45.15% (

0.04)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.14%

31.86% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.7% (

-0)

68.3% (

Score Analysis

Hearts 53.61%

St Mirren 23.56%

Draw 22.82%

Hearts	Draw	St Mirren
2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 53.61%	1-1 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 5.6% 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.82%	1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 23.56%