Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
47.36% ( 0.04) | 26.26% ( -0.03) | 26.38% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.28% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.37% ( 0.1) | 54.64% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.03% ( 0.08) | 75.97% ( -0.08) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.93% ( 0.06) | 23.07% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.1% ( 0.09) | 56.9% ( -0.08) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.06% ( 0.05) | 35.94% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.28% ( 0.04) | 72.72% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 47.36% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.94% Total : 26.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |