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Motherwell logo
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Aberdeen logo

Motherwell
2 - 1
Aberdeen

van Veen (34'), Shields (45+3')
van Veen (35'), Carroll (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ramirez (3')
Hayes (32'), Gallagher (35'), Brown (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Motherwell and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Motherwell 1-2 Aberdeen

This Scottish Cup fixture is something that both teams need at the moment after failing to win a game since their fourth-round encounters. However, the lack of goals that Motherwell have been scoring is something that could prove to be a problem for them in this environment, which is why Aberdeen could edge it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
MotherwellDrawAberdeen
28.6%27.39%44.01%
Both teams to score 47.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.39%57.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.62%78.38%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26%35.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.49%72.51%
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99%26.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97%61.03%
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 28.6%
    Aberdeen 44.01%
    Draw 27.39%
MotherwellDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 9.56%
2-1 @ 6.63%
2-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 2.27%
3-0 @ 1.69%
3-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2%
Total : 28.6%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 9.29%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 12.51%
1-2 @ 8.67%
0-2 @ 8.43%
1-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 2%
1-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.01%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Aberdeen

Motherwell
41.7%
Draw
8.3%
Aberdeen
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Aberdeen
0-2
Motherwell

Ferguson (42'), McCrorie (77'), Ojo (90+2')
Van Veen (50', 57')
Maguire (21'), van Veen (22'), Roberts (36'), McGinley (64'), Mugabi (76')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Motherwell
2-0
Aberdeen
Van Veen (26'), Ojala (59')
van Veen (27'), Woolery (36'), O'Hara (44'), Grimshaw (72'), Watt (84')

Ferguson (58'), McCrorie (90+1'), Brown (90+3')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 25
Aberdeen
2-0
Motherwell
Hoban (15'), Considine (77')
Wright (26'), Ojo (27')

Gallagher (5'), Polworth (26')
Polworth (48')
Dec 23, 2020 6.15pm
Sep 20, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 8
Aberdeen
0-3
Motherwell

Logan (47'), McCrorie (56'), Ferguson (71')
O'Hara (4' pen.), Long (8'), Mugabi (22')
rhs 2.0
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