Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 52.87%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Dundee United |
52.87% ( -0.19) | 22.48% ( 0.11) | 24.65% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 59.78% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.97% ( -0.43) | 40.03% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.61% ( -0.45) | 62.39% ( 0.45) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.79% ( -0.21) | 15.21% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.15% ( -0.41) | 43.85% ( 0.41) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.5% ( -0.17) | 29.5% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.49% ( -0.21) | 65.52% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Dundee United |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.88% Total : 52.87% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 24.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |