Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stark's Park
Raith Rovers3 - 1Motherwell
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dundee 2-2 Raith Rovers (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Wednesday, February 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Aberdeen 3-1 Motherwell
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Raith Rovers 1-0 Motherwell
Raith Rovers are in brilliant form and will take confidence from reaching another cup final in midweek. Meanwhile, Motherwell's recent form has been woeful, and it does not look like it is about to change any time soon, so we think the Rovers will claim a famous victory here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Motherwell |
43.05% ( -0.03) | 24.57% ( 0.02) | 32.37% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.26% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.42% ( -0.09) | 44.57% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.05% ( -0.09) | 66.94% ( 0.09) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( -0.06) | 20.8% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.54% ( -0.09) | 53.46% ( 0.08) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( -0.04) | 26.43% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.4% ( -0.05) | 61.6% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers 43.05%
Motherwell 32.37%
Draw 24.57%
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Motherwell |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.05% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 32.37% |
How you voted: Raith Rovers vs Motherwell
Raith Rovers
25.0%Draw
8.3%Motherwell
66.7%12
Form Guide
