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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 27
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Motherwell logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Motherwell

Robinson (17')
Doidge (35'), Polworth (65'), McKenzie (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Slattery (90')
Casey (65'), van Veen (72'), Slattery (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 2-0 Hearts
Sunday, February 19 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Motherwell

Kilmarnock's potentially season-saving home form may earn the hosts another precious point in their battle against the drop this weekend, halting Kettlewell's winning start to life in the Motherwell dugout without condemning him to a defeat on his permanent debut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawMotherwell
50.02% (0.0020000000000024 0) 25.02% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.96% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 51.73% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.82% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.67% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)52.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.93% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.07% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.82% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 50.01%
    Motherwell 24.96%
    Draw 25.02%
KilmarnockDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 11.35%
2-1 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 50.01%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.47%
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.91%
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 24.96%

Head to Head
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
4-1
Motherwell
Lafferty (1'), McKenzie (55'), Burke (57'), Pinnock (83')
McGowan (45'), Lafferty (58'), Power (72')
Maguire (8')
Roberts (42')
Feb 10, 2021 6pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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