Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 24.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Motherwell |
50.02% ( 0) | 25.02% ( 0) | 24.96% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.73% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.18% ( -0) | 50.82% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.29% ( -0) | 72.71% ( 0) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.67% ( 0) | 20.33% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.28% ( -0) | 52.72% ( 0) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.93% ( -0) | 35.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.18% ( -0) | 71.82% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 11.35% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-0 @ 4.8% 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.69% Total : 50.01% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.47% 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |