Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 24.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.