Scottish Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

BBSP Stadium Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Dumbarton

Jones (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Blair (58')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Kilmarnock and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-3 Rangers
Wednesday, January 18 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dumbarton

All competitions

Last Game: Forfar 2-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Dumbarton
59.32%	21.1%	19.58%

Both teams to score 57.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.06%

39.94% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.69%

62.3% (

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.85%

13.15% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.18%

39.82%

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.01%

33.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33% (

70.67%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 59.32%

Dumbarton 19.58%

Draw 21.1%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Dumbarton
2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.2% 1-0 @ 9.07% 3-1 @ 6.71% 3-0 @ 6.22% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 3.41% 4-0 @ 3.16% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.38% 5-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.51% Total : 59.32%	1-1 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 5.36% 0-0 @ 4.47% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.1%	1-2 @ 5.28% 0-1 @ 4.82% 0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.58%