Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
Kilmarnock1 - 0Dumbarton
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Kilmarnock and Dumbarton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-3 Rangers
Wednesday, January 18 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Wednesday, January 18 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Forfar 2-1 Dumbarton
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Goals
for
for
32
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 59.32% | 21.1% | 19.58% |
| Both teams to score 57.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.06% | 39.94% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.69% | 62.3% ( 0) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.85% | 13.15% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.18% | 39.82% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% | 33.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.33% ( 0) | 70.67% |
| Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock 59.32%
Dumbarton 19.58%
Draw 21.1%
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.2% 1-0 @ 9.07% 3-1 @ 6.71% 3-0 @ 6.22% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 3.41% 4-0 @ 3.16% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.38% 5-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.51% Total : 59.32% | 1-1 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 5.36% 0-0 @ 4.47% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.1% | 1-2 @ 5.28% 0-1 @ 4.82% 0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.93% 1-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.58% |
Form Guide
