Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	Draw	Dumbarton
45.65% ( 1.43)	22.72% ( -0.53)	31.63% ( -0.9)

Both teams to score 64.66% (

1.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.95% (

2.2)

36.05% (

-2.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.85% (

2.37)

58.15% (

-2.38)

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.7% (

1.42)

16.29% (

-1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.14% (

2.51)

45.86% (

-2.51)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.24% (

0.54)

22.75% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.56% (

0.8)

56.44% (

-0.79)

Score Analysis

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 45.65%

Dumbarton 31.63%

Draw 22.72%

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	Draw	Dumbarton
2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.2) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.13) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.69% Total : 45.65%	1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.42) 3-3 @ 2% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.72%	1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.52) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.63%