Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	Draw	Elgin City
50.44% ( 0.49)	23.19% ( -0.09)	26.37% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 59.09% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.27% (

0.11)

41.73% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.86% (

0.11)

64.14% (

-0.11)

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.32% (

0.22)

16.68% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.45% (

0.4)

46.55% (

-0.39)

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.92% (

-0.24)

29.08% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35% (

-0.29)

65% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 50.44%

Elgin City 26.37%

Draw 23.18%

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	Draw	Elgin City
2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.29% Total : 50.44%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.18%	1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.36% Total : 26.37%