Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.