Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.