Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.