Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nancy win with a probability of 53.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Epinal had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Epinal win it was 1-0 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nancy would win this match.