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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Notts County

Crewe
vs.
Notts County

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Notts County

Nott County have proven to be resilient away from home in recent games, and it is difficult to see how they lose on Saturday. Additionally, while Crewe have the same defensive record as their opponents, their inferior offensive record may make them slight underdogs this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Notts County has a probability of 31.71% and a draw has a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Notts County win is 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.25%).

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawNotts County
44.06% (0.374 0.37) 24.23% (-0.211 -0.21) 31.71% (-0.167 -0.17)
Both teams to score 59.18% (0.657 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.75% (0.895 0.9)43.25% (-0.899 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35% (0.876 0.88)65.65% (-0.87899999999999 -0.88)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19% (0.53100000000001 0.53)19.8% (-0.534 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13% (0.855 0.86)51.87% (-0.858 -0.86)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (0.331 0.33)26.2% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.7% (0.443 0.44)61.29% (-0.445 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 44.06%
    Notts County 31.71%
    Draw 24.23%
Crewe AlexandraDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-0 @ 6.8% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.096 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 44.06%
1-1 @ 11.25% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.078 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 31.71%

Who will win Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe and Notts County?

Crewe Alexandra
Draw
Notts County
Crewe Alexandra
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Notts County
25.0%
4
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Notts County
1-3
Crewe
O'Brien (83')
Ashby-Hammond (18'), Bostock (53'), Langstaff (81'), Jatta (90')
Demetriou (5'), Nevitt (19' pen.), Austerfield (77')
Kirk (27'), Demetriou (53'), Turns (81'), Adebisi (88')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crewe
1-0
Notts County
Baker-Richardson (90+8' pen.)
Offord (14'), Cooney (90+1')

Cameron (45+1'), Baldwin (50'), O'Brien (70'), Jones (88'), Randall (89')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Crewe
3-0
Notts County
Taylor-Sinclair (31'), Wintle (77'), Jones (83')

Hemmings (43'), O'Brien (85')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 10
Notts County
2-1
Crewe
Milsom (5'), Hewitt (61')
Milsom (33')
Bowery (14')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Notts County
4-1
Crewe
Husin (15'), Hewitt (41', 60'), Bennett (89')
Husin (65')
Miller (8')
Nolan (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale159332316730
2Walsall1483327151227
3Notts County1576223131027
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster158342117427
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe147431713425
6MK Dons157352417724
7Grimsby Town158071925-624
8Gillingham157261612423
9Chesterfield1557328181022
10Bradford CityBradford156452016422
11BarrowBarrow156451612422
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
13Salford City155551417-320
14AFC Wimbledon126151810819
15Newport CountyNewport156181926-719
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham155371922-318
17Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
18Accrington StanleyAccrington144461822-416
19Bromley143651618-215
20Harrogate TownHarrogate154381221-915
21Colchester UnitedColchester142751721-413
22Swindon TownSwindon152671623-712
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1532101328-1511
24Morecambe152491426-1210


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