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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Notts County

Crewe
2 - 0
Notts County

Tracey (40'), Cooney (62' pen.)
Holicek (57'), Cooney (64'), Williams (67'), Marshall (71'), Sanders (75'), Tracey (80')
Long (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bedeau (3'), Maynard (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-0 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Notts County

 Nott County have proven to be resilient away from home in recent games, and it is difficult to see how they lose on Saturday. Additionally, while Crewe have the same defensive record as their opponents, their inferior offensive record may make them slight underdogs this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawNotts County
44.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.23% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.72% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.19% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.25% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.65% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)19.81% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)51.87% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)26.19% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)61.29% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 44.05%
    Notts County 31.72%
    Draw 24.23%
Crewe AlexandraDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 31.72%

How you voted: Crewe vs Notts County

Crewe Alexandra
35.3%
Draw
28.2%
Notts County
36.5%
85
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Notts County
1-3
Crewe
O'Brien (83')
Ashby-Hammond (18'), Bostock (53'), Langstaff (81'), Jatta (90')
Demetriou (5'), Nevitt (19' pen.), Austerfield (77')
Kirk (27'), Demetriou (53'), Turns (81'), Adebisi (88')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crewe
1-0
Notts County
Baker-Richardson (90+8' pen.)
Offord (14'), Cooney (90+1')

Cameron (45+1'), Baldwin (50'), O'Brien (70'), Jones (88'), Randall (89')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Crewe
3-0
Notts County
Taylor-Sinclair (31'), Wintle (77'), Jones (83')

Hemmings (43'), O'Brien (85')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 10
Notts County
2-1
Crewe
Milsom (5'), Hewitt (61')
Milsom (33')
Bowery (14')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Notts County
4-1
Crewe
Husin (15'), Hewitt (41', 60'), Bennett (89')
Husin (65')
Miller (8')
Nolan (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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