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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Notts County has a probability of 31.71% and a draw has a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Notts County win is 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.25%).
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Notts County |
44.06% ( 0.37) | 24.23% ( -0.21) | 31.71% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 59.18% ( 0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.75% ( 0.9) | 43.25% ( -0.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.35% ( 0.88) | 65.65% ( -0.88) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.19% ( 0.53) | 19.8% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.13% ( 0.86) | 51.87% ( -0.86) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.8% ( 0.33) | 26.2% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.7% ( 0.44) | 61.29% ( -0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.05% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
3 | Notts County | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 25 |
6 | MK Dons | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 24 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 24 |
8 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Chesterfield | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 22 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 22 |
11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
13 | Salford City | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
14 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 19 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 16 |
19 | Bromley | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 13 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Morecambe | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 10 |
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