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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Notts County |
49.09% ( -0.35) | 23.23% ( 0.08) | 27.67% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 60.1% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.09% ( -0.18) | 40.91% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.7% ( -0.19) | 63.29% ( 0.19) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.13% ( -0.19) | 16.86% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.11% ( -0.35) | 46.88% ( 0.36) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.3% ( 0.1) | 27.7% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.74% ( 0.12) | 63.26% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.16% Total : 49.09% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.23% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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