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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
38.53% ( -0.04) | 24.9% ( 0) | 36.57% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 58.11% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.81% ( -0) | 45.19% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.46% ( -0) | 67.54% ( 0.01) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.75% ( -0.02) | 23.25% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.83% ( -0.04) | 57.16% ( 0.04) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.71% ( 0.03) | 24.29% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.34% ( 0.03) | 58.66% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.53% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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