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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Notts County

AFC Wimbledon
4 - 2
Notts County

Reeves (29' pen., 86' pen.), Al-Hamadi (41', 90+2')
Lewis (22'), Currie (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Langstaff (62'), Nemane (67')
Jones (45+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 18 at 12.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Notts County 4-2 Bradford
Saturday, November 18 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawNotts County
39.98% (0.012 0.01) 24.81% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 35.21% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.26% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.07% (0.031000000000006 0.03)44.93% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (0.028999999999996 0.03)67.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59% (0.019999999999996 0.02)22.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.08% (0.030000000000001 0.03)55.92% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.08% (0.01100000000001 0.01)24.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)59.55% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 39.98%
    Notts County 35.22%
    Draw 24.8%
AFC WimbledonDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 39.98%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.8%
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.22%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County

AFC Wimbledon
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Notts County
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2016 3pm
Sep 19, 2015 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-1
Notts County
Bulman (85'), Akinfenwa (90')
Reeves (27'), Fuller (79'), Francomb (88')
Hollis (16')
Amevor (11'), Swerts (45'), Snijders (68'), Burke (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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