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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Notts County |
39.98% (![]() | 24.81% (![]() | 35.21% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.07% (![]() | 44.93% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.71% (![]() | 67.29% (![]() |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.59% (![]() | 22.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.08% (![]() | 55.92% (![]() |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.08% (![]() | 24.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.45% (![]() | 59.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 8.68% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.35% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.98% | 1-1 @ 11.6% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.06% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.76% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |