League Two

League Two | Gameweek 15

Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 4
Accrington

Bugiel (51', 70')
Pell (24'), Al-Hamadi (68'), Biler (82')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Pritchard (4', 46'), Leigh (9'), Hills (83')
Bagueloc'rich (25'), Hills (54'), Mellor (63')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: Barrow 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Accrington 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Accrington Stanley

The fact that Wimbledon's previous four league games have produced just two goals suggests another cagey encounter could be on the cards, but both teams have scored in eight of the last nine head-to-heads. There is not much to split the sides in the table and there may be little to separate on them the pitch too in what could well be a close encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Accrington Stanley
49.39% ( -0.41)	25.05% ( 0)	25.55% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 52.2% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.53% (

0.29)

50.47% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.6% (

0.25)

72.4% (

-0.26)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55% (

-0.05)

20.45% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.09% (

-0.09)

52.91% (

0.09)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.62% (

0.49)

34.37% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.92% (

0.52)

71.08% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 49.38%

Accrington Stanley 25.55%

Draw 25.05%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 49.38%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.19% Total : 25.55%