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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
38.88% ( 0.21) | 25.95% ( -0.03) | 35.17% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 54.31% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.97% ( 0.12) | 50.03% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28% ( 0.11) | 72% ( -0.1) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.76% ( 0.17) | 25.24% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.01% ( 0.24) | 60% ( -0.23) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.65% ( -0.05) | 27.35% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.19% ( -0.06) | 62.81% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.88% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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