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EFL Cup
Accrington Stanley
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
Tranmere Rovers

Accrington
2 - 2
Tranmere

Adedoyin (37'), Astley (39')
Clark (90+2')
FT
(aet)
Hawkes (62'), Astley (90+3' og.)
Tranmere win 12-11 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Accrington Stanley and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

Last Six:
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Accrington
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Tranmere Rovers

Last Six:
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Accrington Stanley 2-1 Tranmere Rovers

 Tranmere Rovers will head into Tuesday needing a pick-me-up after losing their opening two games of the season. Accrington Stanley, meanwhile, have hit their stride and will be looking to build on Saturday's win over Shrewsbury Town. Looking at the gulf in class between the two sides and their contrasting form, we predict that the hosts will claim the win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%).

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawTranmere Rovers
30.41% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.91% (0.0030000000000001 0) 44.68% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)46.88% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)69.13% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)28.84% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)64.71% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.98% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.19% (0.0020000000000024 0)53.81%
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 30.41%
    Tranmere Rovers 44.68%
    Draw 24.9%
Accrington StanleyDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.41%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.86%
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 44.68%

How you voted: Accrington vs Tranmere

Accrington Stanley
56.3%
Draw
12.5%
Tranmere Rovers
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Tranmere
2-1
Accrington
Taylor (13'), Clarke (83')
Bishop (24')
Butcher (64'), Burgess (88')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Accrington
1-2
Tranmere
Woodyard (82' og.)
Rodgers (39'), Finley (72')
Rodgers (90+3')
Vaughan (8'), Ellis (77')
Jennings (34'), Ridehalgh (79'), Davies (88')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Tranmere
1-1
Accrington
Morris (38')
McConville (18')
Rodgers (35')
Jan 17, 2015 3pm
Tranmere
3-0
Accrington
Donnelly (12', 57'), Fenelon (23')

Aldred (27')
Sep 6, 2014 3pm
Accrington
3-2
Tranmere
Gray (8' pen., 78'), Naismith (82')
Hunt (4'), Naismith (84')
Bell-Baggie (46', 70')
Stockton (65')
rhs 2.0
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