League One

League One | Gameweek 4

Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK

Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 2
Accrington

Longman (18')
Woodyard (27')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Sykes (41'), Butcher (45')
Cassidy (62'), Pritchard (90+4')

Coverage of the League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Accrington Stanley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Accrington Stanley
38.19%	27.85%	33.96%

Both teams to score 48.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.17%

57.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.45%

78.55%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.68%

29.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.71%

65.29%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.03%

31.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.57%

68.43%

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 38.19%

Accrington Stanley 33.95%

Draw 27.85%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.19%	1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.37% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 10.68% 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 6.09% 1-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.95%