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AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Bradford City

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Bradford


Davison (17'), Lewis (58'), Ogundere (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Osadebe (62')
Platt (7'), Smallwood (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Bradford City

AFC Wimbledon have not been particularly impressive at home this season, with their only victory coming against a struggling Tranmere side. While Bradford have not been at their best away from home, they are starting to gather momentum, winning their last two games on the spin in all competitions, so we expect Saturday's game to finish as a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bradford City in this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawBradford City
36.21% (0.184 0.18) 27.26% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 36.52% (-0.208 -0.21)
Both teams to score 50.08% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.59% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)55.41% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.39% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)76.61% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (0.066000000000003 0.07)29.32% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (0.082000000000001 0.08)65.3% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86% (-0.173 -0.17)29.13% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93% (-0.213 -0.21)65.06% (0.21499999999999 0.21)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 36.21%
    Bradford City 36.52%
    Draw 27.26%
AFC WimbledonDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.43% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.54% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 10.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.52%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Bradford

AFC Wimbledon
55.6%
Draw
27.8%
Bradford City
16.7%
18
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Bradford
2-2
AFC Wimbledon
Banks (4'), Oliver (90+5')
Pell (58'), Chislett (76')
May 4, 2019 5.30pm
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Bradford

Soares (36')
Payne (45' pen.)
Isherwood (90')
Jan 27, 2018 3pm
Bradford
0-4
AFC Wimbledon

Vincelot (90')
Abdou (14'), Barcham (59'), McDonald (66', 80')
Abdou (37'), McDonald (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52


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