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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
39.3% ( -0.05) | 26.8% ( -0.01) | 33.9% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 51.3% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.23% ( 0.07) | 53.77% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.75% ( 0.06) | 75.25% ( -0.05) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.26% ( 0.01) | 26.74% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.99% ( 0) | 62.02% ( 0) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.03% ( 0.08) | 29.97% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.92% ( 0.1) | 66.09% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.3% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
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