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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Newport County |
31.91% (![]() | 26.21% (![]() | 41.89% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.63% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.18% (![]() | 51.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.42% (![]() | 73.58% (![]() |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.69% (![]() | 30.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.51% (![]() | 66.49% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.51% (![]() | 24.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.06% (![]() | 58.93% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 8.86% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.08% ( ![]() Other @ 3.17% Total : 31.91% | 1-1 @ 12.46% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.42% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 10.44% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.77% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.35% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |