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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Crewe Alexandra

Swindon
2 - 2
Crewe

Godwin-Malife (21'), Young (47')
McEachran (26'), Mahoney (82'), Blake-Tracy (87'), Brewitt (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Williams (60'), Adebisi (85')
Adebisi (15'), Powell (15'), Bell (16'), Williams (20'), Thomas (23'), Long (67'), Davies (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Swindon (4-1 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Crewe (3-5 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Crewe Alexandra

 Both Swindon and Crewe will fancy their chances of claiming their first League Two win of the new season on Saturday, but with little to separate these two sides, we can see the spoils being shared on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
49.82% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 25.1% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.07% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 51.59% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.94% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)51.06% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.92% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)20.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)71.85%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 49.82%
    Crewe Alexandra 25.07%
    Draw 25.1%
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.4%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.04%
3-1 @ 5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 49.82%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 25.07%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crewe
2-1
Swindon
Thomas (82'), Tabiner (86')
Hepburn-Murphy (44')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
0-1
Crewe
Agyei (23' pen.)
> Preview
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Crewe
0-3
Swindon

Robertson (79')
Reed (25'), Simpson (52'), Payne (79')
Williams (38'), Reed (75')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swindon
2-1
Crewe
Johnson (10' og.), Twine (90+4')
Thompson (84')
Lowery (5')
Lowery (70')
Dec 1, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 15
Crewe
4-2
Swindon
Powell (39'), Ng (54'), Lowery (63'), Dale (66')
Grant (20'), Smith (38')
Broadbent (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52
> League Two Full Table


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