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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 12.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
Result | ||
Leyton Orient | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
67.27% ( 0.02) | 20.24% ( -0.01) | 12.49% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 43.98% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.55% ( 0) | 49.45% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.51% | 71.49% ( -0) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.23% ( 0.01) | 13.77% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.94% ( 0.01) | 41.06% ( -0.02) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.01% ( -0.02) | 48.99% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.05% ( -0.02) | 83.95% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Leyton Orient | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 13.37% 2-0 @ 13.25% 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.42% Total : 67.25% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% 2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.81% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 12.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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