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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Walsall |
30.98% ( 0.02) | 27.01% ( -0) | 42.01% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.79% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.7% ( 0.02) | 55.3% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.48% ( 0.02) | 76.52% ( -0.02) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.27% ( 0.02) | 32.73% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.72% ( 0.03) | 69.28% ( -0.02) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.01% ( 0) | 25.99% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.99% ( 0.01) | 61.01% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Walsall |
1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.98% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 11.46% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
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