Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 25
Sep 29, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Guldfageln Arena
Kalmar1 - 3Elfsborg
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Kalmar and Elfsborg.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Elfsborg |
30.48% ( 0.22) | 23.68% ( 0.06) | 45.84% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 60.51% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.77% ( -0.16) | 41.22% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.38% ( -0.16) | 63.62% ( 0.16) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( 0.06) | 25.98% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39% ( 0.09) | 60.99% ( -0.09) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.75% ( -0.17) | 18.24% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.71% ( -0.3) | 49.28% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
Kalmar 30.48%
Elfsborg 45.84%
Draw 23.67%
| Kalmar | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.48% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.24% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.61% Total : 45.84% |
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 4
Elfsborg
1-2
Kalmar
Sep 17, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 23
Elfsborg
0-3
Kalmar
Jul 9, 2023 4.30pm
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Jul 24, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Kalmar
1-0
Elfsborg
