Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 14
Jul 9, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Guldfageln Arena
Kalmar0 - 4Elfsborg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 1-1 Kalmar
Monday, July 3 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Monday, July 3 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-0 Hammarby
Monday, July 3 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Monday, July 3 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Goals
for
for
30
We said: Kalmar 1-2 Elfsborg
This is a very close one to call, as both sides are currently on the up and carrying solid form into the match. The visitors, though, have an excellent away record, scoring two or more goals in four of their last five matches on the road, while the hosts have conceded in each of their last four home games. On those grounds, we are going for Elfsborg to win by the odd goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
Result | ||
Kalmar | Draw | Elfsborg |
37.27% ( 0.69) | 26.76% ( -0.08) | 35.97% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 51.68% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.6% ( 0.3) | 53.39% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.07% ( 0.25) | 74.93% ( -0.26) |
Kalmar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.28% ( 0.55) | 27.72% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.71% ( 0.7) | 63.28% ( -0.71) |
Elfsborg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.5% ( -0.23) | 28.49% ( 0.23) |