Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Varnamo	Draw	Kalmar
39.3% ( -0.03)	26.02% ( 0.04)	34.67% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.97% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.57% (

-0.19)

50.42% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.64% (

-0.16)

72.36% (

0.16)

Varnamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.8% (

-0.1)

25.2% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.06% (

-0.14)

59.93% (

0.14)

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.15% (

-0.1)

27.84% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.55% (

-0.12)

63.44% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Varnamo 39.3%

Kalmar 34.67%

Draw 26.02%

Varnamo	Draw	Kalmar
1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 39.3%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.67%