Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 18
Jan 5, 2025 at 4pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
Fenerbahce2 - 1Hatayspor
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eyupspor 1-1 Fenerbahce
Friday, December 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Friday, December 20 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-3 Adana Demirspor
Monday, December 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Monday, December 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
We said: Fenerbahce 3-0 Hatayspor
Hatayspor are winless in away Super Lig games since January 2024, and that miserable run should continue against one of the strongest home sides on Sunday. Fenerbahce have won six of seven home fixtures under Mourinho, with the Portuguese boss inheriting a side on a six-match winning sequence on home soil, underscoring why the Istanbul giants should overpower Sunday's second-bottom visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 73.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 9.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.58%) and 3-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Hatayspor |
73.47% ( 0.4) | 16.56% ( -0.21) | 9.96% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 47.52% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60% ( 0.41) | 40% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.63% ( 0.42) | 62.36% ( -0.43) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.57% ( 0.2) | 9.43% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.3% ( 0.47) | 31.69% ( -0.48) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.47% ( -0.1) | 47.52% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.12% ( -0.08) | 82.88% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Fenerbahce 73.47%
Hatayspor 9.96%
Draw 16.56%
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 2-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.64% Total : 73.47% | 1-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.75% Total : 16.56% | 0-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.46% Total : 9.96% |
How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Hatayspor
Fenerbahce
93.8%Draw
0.0%Hatayspor
6.3%16
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 28
Hatayspor
0-2
Fenerbahce
Massanga (44')
Osayi-Samuel (24'), Under (40')
Osayi-Samuel (8'), Becao (34'), Oosterwolde (78'), Yuksek (90+2'), Soyuncu (90+4')
Osayi-Samuel (8'), Becao (34'), Oosterwolde (78'), Yuksek (90+2'), Soyuncu (90+4')
Oct 22, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 9
Fenerbahce
4-2
Hatayspor
May 21, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 35
Hatayspor
0-3
Fenerbahce
Dec 27, 2022 5pm
Feb 20, 2022 4pm
Form Guide
