Fenerbahce

4 - 2

Hatayspor

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 86.71%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 4.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 4-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.22%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-2 (1.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.