Fenerbahce

4 - 0

Istanbul

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.83%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.