Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 30.42% and a draw has a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Nacional win is 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.45%).
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Santa Clara |
30.42% ( 0.6) | 26.18% ( 0.91) | 43.4% ( -1.5) |
Both teams to score 52.09% ( -2.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.77% ( -3.5) | 52.23% ( 3.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.06% ( -3.1) | 73.94% ( 3.1) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.45% ( -1.36) | 31.55% ( 1.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.05% ( -1.6) | 67.95% ( 1.61) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.09% ( -2.21) | 23.91% ( 2.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.88% ( -3.27) | 58.12% ( 3.28) |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.86) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.42% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.47) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 1) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.35) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.79) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.42) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.34) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.26) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.76% Total : 43.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |