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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Santa Clara

Nacional
2 - 0
Santa Clara

Aguiar Tomich (9'), Macedo (13' pen.)
Ulisses (24'), Thomas (49'), Dias (74'), Franca (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ramos (43'), Rocha (43'), Safira (50'), Klismahn (54'), Adriano (64'), Silva (74'), Lima (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Nacional
Tuesday, October 29 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Santa Clara
Wednesday, October 30 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Nacional 0-2 Santa Clara

Nacional and Santa Clara come into this one off the back of crashing out of the Taca da Liga and will be looking to secure a morale-boosting result. Matos's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and given their solid form in the league, we fancy them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawSanta Clara
30.42% (0.652 0.65) 26.18% (0.222 0.22) 43.4% (-0.87 -0.87)
Both teams to score 52.09% (-0.356 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.77% (-0.617 -0.62)52.23% (0.62 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (-0.535 -0.54)73.94% (0.538 0.54)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (0.15199999999999 0.15)31.55% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (0.173 0.17)67.95% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09% (-0.68900000000001 -0.69)23.91% (0.692 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.88% (-0.998 -1)58.12% (1.001 1)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 30.42%
    Santa Clara 43.4%
    Draw 26.18%
NacionalDrawSanta Clara
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.247 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.18% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.02% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.42%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.184 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 7.72% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.25% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.68% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 43.4%

How you voted: Nacional vs Santa Clara

Nacional
13.2%
Draw
10.5%
Santa Clara
76.3%
38
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2024 6pm
Round of 16
Santa Clara
1-1
Nacional
(Aggregate 1-1 | Santa Clara win 4-2 on penalties)
Klismahn (111')
Lima (25'), Serginho (30'), Manuel Velazquez (77')
Dudu (120+3' pen.)
Marakis (98'), Esteves (106')
Apr 11, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 26
Santa Clara
5-1
Nacional
Villanueva (4'), Costa (35', 47'), Carlos (79'), Ukra (90+6' pen.)
Lincoln (14'), Ramos (69')
Correia (66')
Thill (8'), Kalindi (77'), Correia (90+6')
Dec 6, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 9
Nacional
1-3
Santa Clara
Gorre (38')
Pedrao (33'), Gorre (63'), Micael (72')
Carlos (23'), Rashid (34' pen.), Thiago (86' pen.)
Ramos (48'), Costinha (69')
Feb 24, 2019 3.30pm
Gameweek 23
Santa Clara
2-0
Nacional
Chrien (64'), Schettine (91')
Ramos (40'), Patrick (53'), Cardoso (82')

Marakis (9'), Palocevic (40'), Riascos (94')
Marakis (32')
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
Gameweek 6
Nacional
0-3
Santa Clara

Julio (80')
Fernando (4'), Rashid (67'), Pineda (76')
Patrick (28'), Fernando (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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