MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 06:58:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 25, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Nacional

Casa Pia
1 - 0
Nacional

Kluivert (39')
Brito (48'), Mukendi (89'), Zolotic (90+1')
Batista (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gomes (62'), Ulisses (77'), Thomas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Amora 0-5 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Nacional

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Uniao de Leiria 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Casa Pia 2-0 Nacional

 Still licking their wounds from their Taca de Portugal disappointment, Nacional will head into the weekend looking to pick up a morale-boosting result and get their campaign up and running. However, Casa Pia will enter this one with sky-high confidence, particularly off the back of a dominant cup display, and we are backing them to claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Casa Pia.

Result
Casa PiaDrawNacional
39.84% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05) 27.88% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 32.28% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 47.66% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8% (0.056999999999995 0.06)58.2% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16% (0.045999999999999 0.05)78.84% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46%28.54% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.68%64.32% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69% (0.075000000000003 0.08)33.31% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07% (0.081 0.08)69.93% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 39.84%
    Nacional 32.28%
    Draw 27.88%
Casa PiaDrawNacional
1-0 @ 11.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 39.84%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.28%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Nacional

Casa Pia
81.8%
Draw
18.2%
Nacional
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
Nacional
0-0
Casa Pia
(Aggregate 0-0 | Nacional win 6-5 on penalties)
Sousa (12'), Esteves (19'), Aurelio (42'), Pola (83'), Gustavo (88'), Danilovic (96')
Lelo (30'), Roberto (74'), Clayton (80'), Batista (105+1'), Larrazabal (105+2')
Sep 28, 2023 8.15pm
Group Stage
Casa Pia
2-1
Nacional
Cardoso (55'), Clayton (90+4')
Cardoso (15'), Bernardo Neto Monteiro (37'), Neto (42'), Lelo (72')
Witi (3')
Daniel (48')
Feb 9, 2023 5.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Casa Pia
2-5
Nacional
Pinto (53'), Martins (80')
Esteves (44', 46'), Danilovic (94' pen.), Gomes (105+3' pen.), Gustavo (108')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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