Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, August 24 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, August 24 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Casa Pia
Estrela and Casa Pia have endured a slow start to the new campaign and will head into the weekend in search of a pick-me-up. While both sides are evenly matched on paper, the Tricolores' home advantage gives them a slight edge and we fancy them to make it three consecutive victories over Casa Pia. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Casa Pia |
49.85% ( -0.05) | 25.01% ( -0) | 25.14% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.95% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
