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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Do Vizela
Estrela Amadora

Vizela
4 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Samu (8'), Soro (54'), Pereira (69'), Oliveira (83')
Anderson (14'), Ruberto (74'), Ortiz (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pinho (10'), N'do (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vizela

All competitions
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Vizela
Friday, May 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, May 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vizela 1-1 Estrela Amadora

 While Vizela are playing only for pride from here on, Estrela's relegation battle is still ongoing, and they will know that this is about the best opponent they could have chosen to face in the penultimate match of the season. However, the Tricolores have struggled mightily to win on the road, drawing each of their last four, and we feel they will end up taking only a point from this one as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 45%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.

Result
VizelaDrawEstrela Amadora
45% (-0.348 -0.35) 25.39% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 29.61% (0.338 0.34)
Both teams to score 54.17% (0.146 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.68% (0.102 0.1)49.32% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.63% (0.09 0.09)71.37% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (-0.116 -0.12)21.9% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84% (-0.177 -0.18)55.16% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36% (0.292 0.29)30.64% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (0.345 0.34)66.88% (-0.343 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 44.99%
    Estrela Amadora 29.61%
    Draw 25.38%
VizelaDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 44.99%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 29.61%

How you voted: Vizela vs Estrela Amadora

Vizela
0.0%
Draw
80.0%
Estrela Amadora
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Estrela Amadora
1-1
Vizela
Luiz (7')
Samu (48')
Pereira (90')
> Preview
Nov 24, 2023 7.30pm
Fourth Round
Vizela
2-1
Estrela Amadora
Wilson (80')
Mendez (45+3'), Samu (85'), Unzueta (91'), Pereira (114'), Pereira (114')
Kikas (19')
Jaba (31'), Omorwa (73')
Jaba (85')
> Preview
Jul 24, 2021 3.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Estrela Amadora
2-1
Vizela
Cabrita Fernandes (15'), Rafael Pereira Araujo (89')
Neto (35'), Braima Jau (55'), Joaquim Goncalves Andrade Ponce de Leao (60'), Manuel Romano (73')
Cassiano (66')
Paulo (7'), Cassiano (49'), Gregorio Guzzo (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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