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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Vizela

Moreirense
1 - 0
Vizela

Ofori (23')
Camacho (66'), Frimpong (79'), Antonisse (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Essende (81'), Lacava (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portimonense 0-2 Moreirense
Sunday, April 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 1-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, April 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Moreirense 2-1 Vizela

Vizela have endured a forgettable campaign so far and find themselves on the verge of dropping into the second division. In contrast, Moreirense are well on course for a top-half finish and we see them coming away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.

Result
MoreirenseDrawVizela
54.96% (0.258 0.26) 23.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 21.89% (-0.27 -0.27)
Both teams to score 54.03% (-0.411 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.97% (-0.367 -0.37)46.03% (0.36600000000001 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (-0.348 -0.35)68.33% (0.348 0.35)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)16.62% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.55% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)46.45% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.8% (-0.461 -0.46)35.2% (0.462 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.05% (-0.485 -0.48)71.96% (0.485 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 54.95%
    Vizela 21.89%
    Draw 23.15%
MoreirenseDrawVizela
1-0 @ 10.49% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.121 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 54.95%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.15%
0-1 @ 6.11% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.045 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 21.89%

How you voted: Moreirense vs Vizela

Moreirense
72.2%
Draw
27.8%
Vizela
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 15
Vizela
0-0
Moreirense
Ortiz (41'), Escoval (78'), Pereira (85')
Luis (17')
May 14, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 34
Moreirense
4-1
Vizela
Mane (8'), Jorge (16'), Lacerda (30'), Yan (66')
Amador (34'), Pacheco (75'), Conceicao (90+2')
Paulo (90+3')
Ofori (36'), Anderson (64'), Juliao (71')
Fernandes (3')
Jan 8, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 17
Vizela
0-1
Moreirense

Kouao (90+6')
Martins (59')
Vitoria (62'), Jambor (81'), Kewin (89'), Soares (90+4'), Luis (90+4'), Pires (90+8')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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