Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 23.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Moreirense |
50.95% (![]() | 25.61% (![]() | 23.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.64% (![]() | 54.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.26% (![]() | 75.74% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.63% (![]() | 21.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.65% (![]() | 54.35% (![]() |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.61% (![]() | 38.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.86% (![]() | 75.14% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 12.65% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.77% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.35% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.81% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.86% ( ![]() Other @ 3.24% Total : 50.94% | 1-1 @ 12.12% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.2% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 7.85% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 1.55% Total : 23.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |