MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 11:30:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Moreirense

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Moreirense

Silva (68')
Mendes (20'), Mangas (43'), Silva (53'), Ribeiro (70'), Santos (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Alan (35'), Ofori (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Moreirense

With just eight games to go, Vitoria de Guimaraes know that they cannot afford any slip-ups if they are to secure a top-four finish. Pacheco's men have hit their stride in recent weeks and we fancy them to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 23.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMoreirense
50.95% (-0.058 -0.06) 25.61% (0.026 0.03) 23.45% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.45% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)54.36% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)75.74% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)21.37% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)54.35% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)38.39% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.86% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)75.14% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.94%
    Moreirense 23.45%
    Draw 25.61%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 12.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 50.94%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 23.45%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 10
Moreirense
1-0
Guimaraes
Luis (76')
Alan (41')

Handel (55'), Ribeiro (75')
Apr 3, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 28
Moreirense
0-1
Guimaraes

Yan (45+2'), Pacheco (90+5')
Rochinha (62')
Estupinan (23'), Semedo (36'), Rochinha (45+2'), Bamba (88'), Silva (90+4')
Nov 6, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Guimaraes
2-1
Moreirense
Edwards (19'), Duarte (85')
Rochinha (29'), Estupinan (35')
Pires (88')
Camara (42')
Apr 30, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 30
Guimaraes
2-0
Moreirense
Amaro (26'), Almeida (30')
Silvio (40'), Amaro (53'), Duarte (76')

Pacheco (42')
Jan 9, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 13
Moreirense
2-2
Guimaraes
Pires (15'), Soares (70')
Pacheco (87'), D'Alberto (90+2')
Edwards (20'), Andre (68')
Quaresma (65'), Fernandes (86'), Mumin (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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