Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 3, 2022 at 6pm UK

Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
0 - 1
Guimaraes

Yan (45+2'), Pacheco (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rochinha (62')
Estupinan (23'), Semedo (36'), Rochinha (45+2'), Bamba (88'), Silva (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Moreirense 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Moreirense have struggled to get going this season and find themselves second from bottom in the standings. They now face the stern test of going up against a Vitoria de Guimaraes side who they have failed to beat in the league since 2017. We predict Os Vimaranenses will extend their dominance and come away with all three points against the out-of-sorts hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
27.68%	26.55%	45.77%

Both teams to score 49.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.05%

54.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.77%

76.23%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.96%

35.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.21%

71.79%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.05%

23.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.82%

58.18%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 27.68%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 45.77%

Draw 26.54%

Moreirense	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 6.6% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.1% Total : 27.68%	1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.39% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.54%	0-1 @ 11.99% 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.62% Total : 45.77%