Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 6, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
0 - 1
Maritimo

Silva (80'), Galego (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Costa (30')
Beltrame (46'), Joel (57'), Mendes (82'), Costa (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Moreirense 1-2 Maritimo

Despite failing to came away with all three points, Maritimo will feel feel delighted with their performance against the reigning champions last time out as they held on for an impressive draw. While they head into the game in similar form with Moreirense, we are backing Seabra's men to build on last week's performance and come away with a slender win on Sunday and end their winless run in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Maritimo
43.24%	26.2%	30.56%

Both teams to score 52.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.73%

52.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.03%

73.97%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.99%

24.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.74%

58.26%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.53%

31.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.15%

67.85%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 43.23%

Maritimo 30.56%

Draw 26.2%

Moreirense	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.23%	1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 8.73% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.56%