Estoril1 - 0Moreirense
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Moreirense
Moreirense have endured an underwhelming campaign so far and find themselves in the drop zone with two games left to play. However, they take on an out-of-sorts Estoril Praia side who are winless in six consecutive outings and we predict they will come away with all three points to keep their survival hopes alive.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Moreirense has a probability of 26.93% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline is Estoril Praia 1-1 Moreirense with a probability of 12.49% and the second most likely scoreline is Estoril Praia 1-0 Moreirense with a probability of 12.07%.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estoril Praia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Moreirense |
| 46.71% | 26.36% | 26.93% |
| Both teams to score 49.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.3% | 54.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.98% | 76.02% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% | 23.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.61% | 57.38% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.48% | 35.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.72% | 72.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 12.07% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-0 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.71% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.31% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 8.6% 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.01% Total : 26.93% |
How you voted: Estoril vs Moreirense
Taira (59')
