Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 5, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
0 - 0
Estoril

Mendes (17'), Junior (25'), Guitane (90+4')

Lourenco (65'), Baro (84')
Soria (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Maritimo 2-1 Estoril Praia

Estoril Praia are yet to pick up their first win this year, losing three and claiming one draw in four outings. Despite Maritimo's defeat last time out, they head into the game in fine form, claiming 10 points the last 15 available. We are tipping Maritimo to end their poor run in this fixture and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Estoril Praia
35.63%	27.82%	36.55%

Both teams to score 48.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.41%

57.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.63%

78.37%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.23%

30.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.97%

67.03%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.81%

30.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.65%

66.35%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 35.63%

Estoril Praia 36.54%

Draw 27.82%

Maritimo	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 7.73% 2-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 3.04% 3-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.11% Total : 35.63%	1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.29% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.82%	0-1 @ 11.12% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 6.66% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.33% Total : 36.54%

How you voted: Maritimo vs Estoril

Maritimo

57.1%

Draw

35.7%

Estoril Praia

7.1%

Head to Head

Aug 27, 2021 9.15pm

Gameweek 4

Estoril

2-1

Maritimo

Crespo (28'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (59')
Lourenco (10'), Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (15'), Ferraresi (63'), Figueira (81'), Crespo (85'), Africo (90'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (90+6')

Winck (45')
Vidigal (19'), Andrade (37'), Junior (49'), China (85'), Costa (88'), de Mello Costa (90+5')

> Preview

Jan 27, 2021 8.15pm

Quarter-Finals

Maritimo

1-3

Estoril

Joel (29')
Correa (37'), Morais (40'), Winck (78'), Jean (90+5'), Kerkez (90+9'), Hermes (116')
Winck (102'), Costa (120')

Gamboa (90+10' pen.), Thierry Lazare (97'), Harramiz (109')
Crespo (76'), Empis (86'), Soria (113')

> Preview

Apr 7, 2018 4pm

Estoril