Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 23, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio D Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
3 - 1
Estoril

Rochinha (61'), Estupinan (69', 90+3')
Borevkovic (43'), Soares (63'), Trmal (79'), Duarte (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Franco (29')
Ferraresi (25'), Thiago (53'), Gamboa (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-1 Estoril Praia

Given the similar form and seasons that both teams are experiencing, we cannot quite pick a winner on Sunday. They will each look for a crucial victory in the race for top-five spots but could eventually cancel each other out at the Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Estoril Praia
41.63%	25.82%	32.54%

Both teams to score 54.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.96%

50.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.99%

72.01%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.18%

23.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42%

57.99%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71%

28.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.1%

64.89%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 41.63%

Estoril Praia 32.54%

Draw 25.82%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 4.21% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.63%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.55% 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.54%