Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 23, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio D Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes3 - 1Estoril
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-1 Estoril Praia
Given the similar form and seasons that both teams are experiencing, we cannot quite pick a winner on Sunday. They will each look for a crucial victory in the race for top-five spots but could eventually cancel each other out at the Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 41.63% | 25.82% | 32.54% |
| Both teams to score 54.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
