Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
38.05% | 29.19% | 32.76% |
Both teams to score 44.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.35% | 62.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.79% | 82.21% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.19% | 31.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.76% | 68.24% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.67% | 35.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.91% | 72.09% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 12.87% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.87% Total : 38.05% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.18% | 0-1 @ 11.69% 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.1% Total : 32.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |