Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 18, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal

Portimonense
1 - 1
Arouca

Luquinhas (71')
Willyan (12'), Cande (70'), Carlinhos (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Silva (52')
Bukia (73'), Silva (88'), Kouassi (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Portimonense 2-1 Arouca

Portimonense head into the game in resurgent form, claiming four wins from their last five games in all competitions. Arouca, meanwhile, have struggled to get going away from home this season and we anticipate the Portimao-based outfit will make use of their home advantage and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Arouca
39.95%	28.02%	32.04%

Both teams to score 47.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.26%

58.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.73%

79.27%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.26%

28.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.43%

64.57%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.23%

33.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.57%

70.43%

Score Analysis

Portimonense 39.95%

Arouca 32.03%

Draw 28.01%

Portimonense	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 12.1% 2-1 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 7.55% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.95%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.01%	0-1 @ 10.53% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 5.72% 1-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.03%