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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Municipal
Tondela

Arouca
2 - 0
Tondela

Basso (31' pen.), Bukia (68')
Kouassi (35'), Pite (82'), Oleques (90'), Adilio (90+3')
Pite (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dadasov (24'), Sagnan (26'), Barbosa (50'), Khacef (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawTondela
42.54%27.67%29.79%
Both teams to score 47.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.84%58.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.18%78.82%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96%27.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6%62.4%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.88%35.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.14%71.86%
Score Analysis
    Arouca 42.53%
    Tondela 29.79%
    Draw 27.67%
AroucaDrawTondela
1-0 @ 12.41%
2-1 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 8.12%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-0 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 42.53%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.49%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 9.94%
1-2 @ 6.8%
0-2 @ 5.2%
1-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 29.79%

How you voted: Arouca vs Tondela

Arouca
23.9%
Draw
23.9%
Tondela
52.2%
46
Head to Head
May 13, 2017 4pm
Arouca
1-2
Tondela
Crivellaro (10')
Costa (32'), Jubal (67'), Crivellaro (75'), Santos (89')
Pedro (11', 78')
Osorio (53'), Bruno (70')
Jan 8, 2017 4pm
Tondela
1-2
Arouca
Pite (80')
Jaquite (67'), Monteiro (82'), Murillo (82'), Pite (93')
Gonzalez (5'), Intima (63')
Mar 6, 2016 4pm
Tondela
0-1
Arouca

Lima da Cunha (16'), Nascimento (70')
Mateus (78')
Bastos (8'), Velasquez (25'), Mateus (89')
Oct 25, 2015 4pm
Arouca
1-1
Tondela
Rodrigues (59')
Dabo (13'), Coelho (30'), Bastos (83')
Balde (47')
Nascimento (58'), Menga (78')
Menga (93')
> Match Report
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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